The Agent Bets (https://theagentbets.com)
Independent news for the prediction-markets economy. A vertical of the Agent News Publishing Network.

PRIMARY AGENT INTERFACE: the Agent News MCP at https://theagenttimes.com/mcp
(Streamable HTTP + JSON-RPC 2.0). For programmatic news access, start there:
the MCP serves this vertical's content alongside the full Agent News corpus.
This site's own machine-readable surfaces (below) are the vertical's raw feeds.

Beat: the prediction-markets INDUSTRY (venues, regulation, market data, business), not odds or picks.
Original data: live dashboards at /data/ (movers, venue volumes, new listings, resolutions), aggregated from public venue APIs.
Evergreen venue profiles at /venues.html. Max 5 reported pieces/day, human-reviewed. See /how-we-publish.html.
Machine-readable: rss.xml, news-sitemap.xml, sitemap.xml, v1/articles.json. Contact: advertise@theagentbets.com.

## Data dashboards
- Market movers: https://theagentbets.com/data/movers.html
- Venue volumes: https://theagentbets.com/data/volumes.html
- New listings: https://theagentbets.com/data/new-listings.html
- Resolutions: https://theagentbets.com/data/resolutions.html

## Venue profiles
- [Crypto.com](https://theagentbets.com/venues/crypto-com.html)
- [Fanatics Markets](https://theagentbets.com/venues/fanatics-markets.html)
- [Kalshi](https://theagentbets.com/venues/kalshi.html)
- [Limitless](https://theagentbets.com/venues/limitless.html)
- [Polymarket](https://theagentbets.com/venues/polymarket.html)
- [Robinhood](https://theagentbets.com/venues/robinhood.html)

## Articles
- [Prediction markets near $20B in record late-September week as football drives volume](https://theagentbets.com/articles/prediction-markets-record-september-nfl.html) | Market Data | 2026-10-03 | Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket International combined for about $19.46 billion in the week ended Sept. 27, with football season driving record weekly and quarterly trading figures.
- [Coinbase blames Kalshi for botched Michigan settlement, pays customers twice](https://theagentbets.com/articles/coinbase-prediction-markets-early.html) | Industry | 2026-10-03 | Coinbase blamed Kalshi for a botched settlement on the Western Michigan-Michigan game and said it would pay affected customers in full without clawing back mistaken payouts.
- [Plaee partners with ProphetX as white-label prediction infrastructure gains ground](https://theagentbets.com/articles/white-label-prediction-market-infrastructure-race.html) | Industry | 2026-10-02 | Plaee signed a technology partnership with CFTC-regulated ProphetX, announced September 30, letting operators launch prediction markets on white-label rails. The deal follows the Fanatics-Crypto.com model and contrasts with DraftKings' owned DKeX exchange.
- [Senate scrutiny of event contracts builds: a Texas hearing and a demand for a federal one](https://theagentbets.com/articles/senate-hearing-event-contracts.html) | Regulation | 2026-10-02 | Texas lawmakers grilled Kalshi at a September 15 hearing, and all 11 Senate Banking Committee Democrats are demanding a public federal hearing on prediction markets.
- [Polymarket's US re-entry runs through polymarket.us as the federal picture evolves](https://theagentbets.com/articles/polymarket-us-reentry-polymarket-us.html) | Regulation | 2026-10-02 | Polymarket.com stays view-only for Americans while the company pursues US re-entry through its regulated polymarket.us venue.
- [2026 midterm trading tops $750M as venues and media lean in](https://theagentbets.com/articles/midterm-contracts-2026-listings.html) | Market Data | 2026-10-01 | Kalshi and Polymarket have handled more than $750 million in combined 2026 election trading, per CNN, as CBS News names Kalshi its midterm prediction-market sponsor.
- [Hyperliquid opens HIP-4 outcome markets to outside builders](https://theagentbets.com/articles/hyperliquid-hip-4-outcome-markets.html) | Venues | 2026-10-01 | Hyperliquid opened its HIP-4 prediction-market framework to outside builders in late August, after reporting around $100 million in outcome volume in its first full month. Volume roughly tripled after the change, though most of it ran through a rebate campaign.
- [Piper Sandler sees Robinhood prediction markets nearing a $1B annualized pace on NFL volume](https://theagentbets.com/articles/robinhood-prediction-markets-nfl-growth.html) | Venues | 2026-09-30 | Robinhood's prediction markets generated $156M in Q2, and Piper Sandler sees roughly $320M more from September through December on NFL-season volume.
- [Onchain venues carve out a growing share of prediction-market volume](https://theagentbets.com/articles/onchain-venues-limitless-growth.html) | Market Data | 2026-09-29 | Limitless grew roughly 15x from $109 million in September 2025 to $1.66 billion in April 2026 on Base, and its US entity has applied to the CFTC for regulated exchange status.
- [Fanatics folds prediction markets into a single app as it moves to own its exchange rails](https://theagentbets.com/articles/fanatics-markets-launch-24-states.html) | Venues | 2026-09-29 | Fanatics folded prediction markets into a single sportsbook, casino and markets app on September 2, while moving to acquire its own CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse.
- [Sixth Circuit rules against Kalshi as Missouri targets six venues over sports contracts](https://theagentbets.com/articles/kalshi-state-challenge-sports-contracts.html) | Regulation | 2026-09-28 | The Sixth Circuit ruled Ohio and Tennessee can regulate Kalshi's sports contracts, and Missouri issued cease-and-desist notices to six prediction market venues.
- [Public launches AI-agent prediction-market trading with Kalshi](https://theagentbets.com/articles/public-ai-agent-trading-kalshi.html) | Industry | 2026-09-25 | Public's September 24 launch, via a partnership with Kalshi, lets members trade event contracts directly or have AI agents trade on their behalf and use market probabilities as portfolio signals.